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Reigniting Investors’ Interest in FGN Savings Bond

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Savings Bond

By FSDH Research

Investors’ participation in the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) Savings Bond has not been impressive since the introduction of the Bond in March 2017 despite the increase in the coupon rate (interest rate) on the Bond.

The amount allotted dropped consistently from N2.07billion in March 2017 to N400.57million in July 2017.

The total number of investors in the FGN Savings Bond also dropped from 2,575 in March 2017 to 779 in July 2017.

The coupon rate on the 2-year Bond which was 13.01% in March 2017 stood at 13.39% in July 2017 while the coupon rate on the 3-year Bond which was 13.79% in April, the first time a 3-year bond was issued, stood at 14.39% in July 2017. There is a need for all the stakeholders in the Bond to reignite investors’ interest in it.

In March 2017, the Debt Management Office (DMO), on behalf of the FGN, introduced the monthly FGN Savings Bond (FGN SB) as part of its efforts to promote the savings culture in Nigeria and improve financial inclusion, particularly amongst retail investors.

The Bond also provides additional funding for the government and helps to broaden the country’s funding base.

It offers guaranteed return in the form of a fixed quarterly interest payment. The minimum investment is N5,000 while the maximum investment is N50million. Investors can subscribe to the Bond through their preferred stockbroking firms on a monthly basis. Some of the important features of the Bond are: income earned on the Bond is exempted from tax payment; it can be traded in the secondary market on the floor of The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE); it is backed by the full faith and credit of the FGN; it commands a higher interest rate (coupon rate) than the traditional savings account in banks; the Bond is acceptable as collateral for loans by banks and it serves as good savings towards retirement, wedding, school fees, house projects, etc.

Between March 2017 and July 2017 a total amount of N5.15billion was raised through the FGN Savings Bond. The highest amount allotted so far was N2.07billion in March 2017 while the lowest amount was N400.57million in July 2017.

The coupon rates for the August 2017 offer are 13.535% and 14.535% for the 2-year Bond and 3-year Bond respectively. This means that the August Bond issues carried higher coupon rates than the July issues and represent the highest coupon rates since inception. The persistent increase in the coupon rates has not attracted enough subscription to the Bond despite the steady decrease in the inflation rate in the country since January 2017.

One of the factors we can attribute to this development is the rally that dominated the equity market in Nigeria since the introduction of the Bond in March 2017.

The Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (NSE ASI) appreciated by 51.47% between March 01, 2017 and August 9, 2017. Many retail investors diverted funds to the equity market to take advantage of capital appreciation.

Other factors are: the low awareness of the benefits and characteristics of the Bond; the low liquidity of the Bond at the secondary market and the high yield on the Nigerian Treasury Bill (NTB).

The following strategies can be adopted to increase investors’ participation in the FGN Savings Bonds: The DMO and the Stockbrokers can organize investors’ roadshows in various cities and schools across the country. This will be an avenue to directly engage retail investors on the need for them to hold the Bonds in their investment portfolio.

They can start with a pilot scheme in Lagos, Abuja, Port Harcourt and Kano. The DMO can work with some identified large corporate organizations that have large number of employees to encourage their employees to invest in the Bonds on a monthly basis.

The DMO can also work with government agencies to encourage civil servants to invest in the Bond. We believe these strategies should be able to attract a minimum of 1million subscribers on a monthly basis.

If this is achieved and the monthly subscription amount increases, the overall weighted average interest rate on the FGN debt will drop.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Again, OPEC Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Forecasts

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OPEC output cut

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has once again trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts.

The bloc made this in its latest monthly oil market report for December 2024.

The 2024 world oil demand growth forecast is now put at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previous 1.82 million barrels per day.

For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, which is 900,000 barrels per day lower than the 1.54 million barrels per day earlier quoted.

On the changes, the group said that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.

The oil cartel had kept the 2024 outlook unchanged until August, a view it had first taken in July 2023.

OPEC and its wider group of allies known as OPEC+ earlier this month delayed its plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.

Eight OPEC+ member countries – Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman – decided to extend additional crude oil production cuts adopted in April 2023 and November 2023, due to weak demand and booming production outside the group.

In April 2023, these OPEC+ countries decided to reduce their oil production by over 1.65 million barrels per day as of May 2023 until the end of 2023. These production cuts were later extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended until the end of December 2026.

In addition, in November 2023, these producers had agreed to voluntary output cuts totalling about 2.2 million barrels per day for the first quarter of 2024, in order to support prices and stabilise the market.

These additional production cuts were extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended to the end of March 2025; they will then be gradually phased out on a monthly basis until the end of September 2026.

Members have made a series of deep output cuts since late 2022.

They are currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day, or about 5.7 per cent of global demand. Russia also announced plans to reduce its production by an extra 471,000 barrels per day in June 2024.

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Economy

Aradel Holdings Acquires Equity Stake in Chappal Energies

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Aradel Holdings

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A minority equity stake in Chappal Energies Mauritius Limited has been acquired by a Nigerian energy firm, Aradel Holdings Plc.

This deal came a few days after Chappal Energies purchased a 53.85 per cent equity stake in Equinor Nigeria Energy Company Limited (ENEC).

Chappal Energies went into the deal with Equinor to take part in the oil and gas lease OML 128, including the unitised 20.21 per cent stake in the Agbami oil field, operated by Chevron.

Since production started in 2008, the Agbami field has produced more than one billion barrels of oil, creating value for Nigerian society and various stakeholders.

As part of the deal, Chappal will assume the operatorship of OML 129, which includes several significant prospects and undeveloped discoveries (Nnwa, Bilah and Sehki).

The Nnwa discovery is part of the giant Nnwa-Doro field, a major gas resource with significant potential to deliver value for Nigeria.

In a separate transaction, on July 17, 2024, Chappal and Total Energies sealed an SPA for the acquisition by Chappal of 10 per cent of the SPDC JV.

The relevant parties to this transaction are working towards closing out this transaction and Ministerial Approval and NNPC consent to accede to the Joint Operating Agreement have been obtained.

“This acquisition is in line with diversifying our asset base, deepening our gas competencies and gaining access to offshore basins using low-risk approaches.

“We recognise the strategic role of gas in Nigeria’s energy future and are happy to expand our equity holding in this critical resource.

“We are committed to the cause of developing the significant value inherent in the assets, which will be extremely beneficial to the country.

“Aradel hopes to bring its proven execution competencies to bear in supporting Chappal’s development of these opportunities,” the chief executive of Aradel Holdings, Mr Adegbite Falade, stated.

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Economy

Afriland Properties Lifts NASD OTC Securities Exchange by 0.04%

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Afriland Properties

By Adedapo Adesanya

Afriland Properties Plc helped the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange record a 0.04 per cent gain on Tuesday, December 10 as the share price of the property investment rose by 34 Kobo to N16.94 per unit from the preceding day’s N16.60 per unit.

As a result of this, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N380 million to remain relatively unchanged at N1.056 trillion like the previous trading day.

But the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) closed higher at 3,014.36 points after it recorded an addition of 1.09 points to Monday’s closing value of 3,013.27 points.

The NASD OTC securities exchange recorded a price loser and it was Geo-Fluids Plc, which went down by 2 Kobo to close at N3.93 per share, in contrast to the preceding day’s N3.95 per share.

During the trading session, the volume of securities bought and sold by investors increased by 95.8 per cent to 2.4 million units from the 1.2 million securities traded in the preceding session.

However, the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 3.7 per cent to N4.9 million from the N5.07 million recorded a day earlier, as the number of deals surged by 27.3 per cent to 14 deals from 11 deals.

Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N3.9 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 million.

Also, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 billion.

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