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Economy

6 Important Things to Consider Before Trading Forex

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Forex Turnover

Forex or foreign exchange is the largest capital market in the world. The average daily trading volume of the forex market is more than 6.6 trillion USD. This is much more than the average daily trading volume of global stock markets.

The significant rise in the number of forex traders since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has boosted the trading figures remarkably, with most of the brokers have reported their highest trading volumes in 2020 & 2021.

Nigeria, South Africa, and Kenya are countries that have witnessed the highest increase in participation from retail traders in Africa.

One of the main reasons for growth is the ease of access with which these Trading apps are available. A major percentage of the young traders have traded forex & other instruments via mobile apps.

Forex currency pairs are available to trade in Nigeria through various online forex brokers. These brokers offer easy-to-use trading platforms & apps for newbies with an interface that encourages trading. This is not really a good situation as it promotes reckless trading too.

Also, due to a substantial rise in the demand for online forex brokers, the scammers and conmen have also utilized the opportunity to scam the uninformed and inexperienced traders. Forex trading scams are at an all-time high throughout Africa and traders need to consider certain aspects before choosing a forex broker in Nigeria.

Here are some things to consider before you trade forex.

1.      Regulation

Retail forex trading via online brokers is unregulated in Nigeria.

The Securities and Exchange Commission of Nigeria (SEC) has issued several warnings about the risk involved in trading forex. However, it is not illegal to trade CFDs & forex online in Nigeria.

Trading forex in Nigeria is not illegal but traders are doing so at their own risk. As forex is not yet regulated in Nigeria, individuals involved in forex trading need to take more precautionary measures and choose wisely.

No local regulatory authority in Nigeria regulates or overlooks the forex market and the activities of the forex brokers. Some of the major forex brokers in Nigeria have regulations from top-tier authorities like FCA of the UK, FSCA of South Africa, and ASIC of Australia. However, some forex brokers in Nigeria do not have any regulatory license or are only licensed through offshore regulators. Such Offshore brokers with no licenses are more likely to be fake and must be avoided.

In case of lack of regulation in Nigerian, Broker’s regulation from top-tier regulatory authorities ensures the safety of your funds. Any malpractice or complaint against a regulated broker can be reported to the regulatory authority.

Past records of registered complaints can also be checked for the regulated brokers. Every regulatory license of the forex broker will have a license number that can also be cross-checked from the regulatory authority for authenticity.

Trading forex in Nigeria via an offshore broker can be very risky as no complaint can be registered in case of deceit. This increases the third-party risk substantially making forex trading even riskier.

2.      Scams Related to Forex & Investments

It is important to have a look at the types of scams that have been committed against investors in Nigeria. The recent scam MBA Trading Limited had estimated to have cost unsuspecting investors Billions of Naira.

Most of these scams in general have nothing to do with the forex & other capital markets but are scammers and conmen taking duping inexperienced investors.

Scams related to the forex and cryptocurrency market are at an all-time high in Nigeria. Traders need to take every possible measure to avoid falling into the traps of scammers.

Many fake agents or brokers may reach you with unsolicited investment advisory and force you to make quick deposits. They may gain your interest by promising unrealistic returns and illogically low-risk factors. Traders and investors must know where their hard-earned money is going and what are the risks associated with it.

Traders and investors in Nigeria must ensure the authenticity of the regulatory license held by the broker. The chosen forex broker must have at least one top-tier regulatory license. This greatly reduces the chances of scams by the broker and ensures safety.

Besides checking the license, traders must also stay aware and look out for red flags that signal a scam. Common red flags include delaying withdrawal, forcing to buy or sell, changing fees, asking for too many documents, etc.

3.      Currency Pairs

Forex trades can only be executed with a pair of currencies. One currency in the pair is bought and sold while the other is exchanged in return for the purchase or sale of the pair.

For example, in EUR/USD currency pair, EUR can be bought or sold in return for USD. Or vice versa.

The price movement in each of the currency pairs depends on different factors which need to be analyzed fundamentally and technically. All the factors that can affect the prices of currency pairs need to be well understood before dealing with them.

The micro and macro-economic factors, geopolitical factors, inflation, and many more aspects of the countries need to be looked out before trading any currency.

Many newcomers in the market seek for the most volatile currency pairs to make quick returns or the ones that are traded the most or suggested by someone. Currency pairs in forex trading must only be selected after detailed inspection and analysis of price movement. Trading with unknown instruments without analysis or understanding is similar to gambling that includes a high risk of losing.

4.      Leverage and Margin Trading

Leverage is a feature offered by forex brokers that allow traders to open bigger position with a smaller deposit. This allows them to gain high returns but if the price moves against the anticipation, the loss can be much severe.

In many situations, traders can lose all the deposited amounts due to high leverage. The amount required in the account to open a position is called margin money.

For example, a broker offers a leverage of 1:500 in Nigeria. To open a buy position on 1 standard lot (i.e., 100,000 units), the trader requires only $200. If the price moves up by 10 pips, profits will be $100 but if it moves down by 10 pips then the loss will be $100, which is 50% of your capital.

Some brokers offer negative balance protection in which positions are automatically closed if the account balance reaches zero. Trading with brokers that do not offer negative balance protection is riskier as the account balance can go in negative.

Higher leverage can increase profits with lower deposits but it also increases the risk factor exponentially. Leverage in forex trading should only be used with the proper understanding of its consequences, and you must never use more than 1:20 leverage on forex.

5.      Trading Strategy and Planning

Forex trading requires planning and a lot of research. Experienced traders always follow a trading strategy and keep improvising it to increase success rates, and their wins when they are correct in their analysis.

Trading without a plan and strategy is similar to searching for treasure without a map. Trading without planning is gambling with very high risk due to leverage.

The analysis of forex price movement can be done fundamentally and technically. Using analysis techniques can provide better trading ideas and increase success rates in trading.

Traders in Nigeria should make a financial plan with a realistic objective and develop strategies that can help in achieving the objective. Most of the new traders unlike experienced traders lack the discipline to follow a particular trading strategy or plan.

Traders must remain emotionally strong and take decisions according to financial objectives and analytical judgment. Trading decisions driven by emotion or unsolicited advisory must be avoided.

You should not choose the broker or trading instrument just because your friend or a family member has chosen it.

6.      Demo Account

The strategies can be developed and tested before implementation with real currency.

Most forex brokers and fintech websites offer a demo forex trading account where new as well as experienced traders can test their strategies with virtual currency.

These demo accounts are available for free and can also allow traders to know which market or instrument is good for them. The demo account can also help you learn & understand basic terminologies, use Risk management features like stop-loss, limit order, etc.

The risk involved in the capital markets and the possible amount that can be gained or lost can also be calculated.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

Economy

Investors Gain N333bn Trading Nigerian Equities

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attracted younger investors NGX

By Dipo Olowookere

A 0.31 per cent gain was recorded by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Tuesday, helped by renewed bargain-hunting by investors, with the year-to-date return extending to 6.61 per cent.

It was observed that the growth achieved by Customs Street yesterday was supported by the banking and the industrial goods indices, which went up by 1.32 per cent and 0.69 per cent apiece.

They offset the losses recorded by the three other sectors, with the insurance counter down by 1.32 per cent, the consumer goods segment down by 0.23 per cent, and the energy space down by 0.17 per cent.

At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) increased by 516.94 points to 165,901.57 points from 165,384.63 points and the market capitalization appreciated by N333 billion to N106.495 trillion from N106.162 trillion.

The market breadth index was positive yesterday after the bourse ended with 35 price gainers and 34 price losers, representing bullish investor sentiment.

The quartet of Industrial and Medical Gases (IMG), Union Dicon, Zichis, and Austin Laz chalked up 10.00 per cent each to sell for N34.65, N9.90, N5.06, and N4.07, respectively, while RT Briscoe appreciated by 9.95 per cent to N9.50.

On the flip side, Omatek lost 10.00 per cent to trade at N2.43, Cutix also fell by 10.00 per cent to N3.15, Union Homes shrank by 9.95 per cent to N76.90, Sunu Assurances declined by 9.94 per cent to N4.62, and Deap Capital crashed by 9.93 per cent to N7.62.

During the trading day, 736.4 million stocks worth N24.7 billion exchanged hands in 46,026 deals compared with the 762.8 million stocks valued at N18.4 billion traded in 55,374 deals a day earlier, indicating a rise in the trading value by 34.24 per cent, and a slip in the trading volume and number of deals by 3.46 per cent and 16.88 per cent apiece.

The activity chart was led by volume on the second trading session of the week by GTCO with 65.9 million equities valued at N6.5 billion, Chams transacted 55.7 million shares worth N249.8 million, Custodian Investment traded 49.8 million stocks for N2.2 billion, Universal Insurance sold 36.1 million equities valued at N51.5 million, and Zenith Bank exchanged 35.4 million shares worth N2.6 billion.

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Economy

Oil Market Rises 2% on Fresh Iran-US Confrontation

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crude oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The oil market was up by nearly 2 per cent on Tuesday after the United States shot down an Iranian drone approaching an aircraft carrier and armed boats in the Strait of Hormuz, stoking concerns talks aimed at de-escalating US-Iran tensions could be disrupted.

This action caused the Brent futures to rise by $1.03 or 1.6 per cent to $67.33 per barrel, as the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures jumped by $1.07 or 1.7 per cent to $63.21 a barrel.

Both crude benchmarks dropped more than 4 per cent on Monday after President Donald Trump said Iran was seriously talking with America.

However, the US military shot down an Iranian drone that “aggressively” approached the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea on Tuesday.

In the Strait of Hormuz between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, Iranian gunboats approached a US-flagged oil tanker in what US and British maritime security sources describe as a failed attempt to interfere with the vessel’s transit.

Members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) including Saudi Arabia, Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq export most of their crude via the strait, mainly to Asia. The Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a fifth of the world’s oil supply passes, remains Iran’s most obvious pressure point.

Despite the latest development, the UAE urged Iran and the US on Tuesday to use the resumption of nuclear talks this week to resolve a standoff that has led to mutual threats of air strikes. Iran, meanwhile, is demanding that talks be held in Oman not Turkey.

In Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy accused Russia on Tuesday of exploiting a US-backed energy truce to stockpile munitions, and using them to attack Ukraine a day before peace talks. This boosted worries that Russia’s oil would remain sanctioned for longer.

On Monday, President Trump announced a trade deal with India, one of the world’s biggest economies and oil importers, on Monday to cut tariffs to 18 per cent from 50 per cent in exchange for the country halting Russian oil purchases and lowering trade barriers.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US decreased by 11.1 million barrels in the week ending January 30. Crude oil inventories decreased by 247,000 barrels in the week prior.

Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be published later on Wednesday.

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Economy

AFC Commits Support to Transformative Reforms in Nigeria’s Power Sector

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power sector liabilities

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Africa Finance Corporation (AFC), the continent’s leading infrastructure solutions provider, has reiterated its commitment to playing a pivotal role to support transformative reforms in Nigeria’s power sector.

This is as it act as co-Financial Adviser to the Nigerian government on the successful issuance of the recent N501 billion inaugural tranche under the Presidential Power Sector Financial Reforms Programme (PPSFRP), as part of the N4 trillion Power Sector Bond Programme, aimed at resolving over a decade of legacy debt obligations in Nigeria’s electricity supply industry and restoring financial stability across the sector.

AFC provided comprehensive financial advisory services to the federal government, including the design of the Programme’s negotiation strategy framework, support in negotiating and executing Settlement Agreements with Power Generation Companies (GenCos), and structuring the bond issuance. Working in partnership with CardinalStone Partners as co-Financial Advisers, AFC deployed its deep sector expertise and strong local market knowledge to deliver the landmark transaction.

The programme was overseen by the Presidential Power Sector Debt Reduction Committee (PPSDRC), with technical leadership from the Office of the Special Adviser to the President on Energy, and implemented through NBET Finance Company Plc, a special purpose vehicle of Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Plc (NBET). Proceeds from the issuance will be used to settle verified, overdue receivables owed to GenCos for electricity supplied between February 2015 and March 2025, injecting liquidity into the power sector and extinguishing long-standing claims.

Commenting on AFC’s involvement, Mr Banji Fehintola, Executive Board Member and Head, Financial Services at Africa Finance Corporation, said: “The successful issuance of the inaugural tranche under the Power Sector Bond Programme underscores AFC’s commitment to supporting transformative reforms in Nigeria’s power sector. By resolving long-standing liquidity challenges and restoring confidence among investors and operators, this transaction lays the foundation for sustainable growth and improved electricity supply across the country.”

When fully implemented, the programme is expected to impact approximately 5,398MW of electricity generation capacity by Nigerian GenCos and finalise settlement for 290,644.84GWh of electricity billed since 2015. It will also strengthen companies serving about 12 million active registered customers, creating a solid platform for new investments in capacity enhancement and expansion.

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