Economy
Brent Loses 24% Monday to Trade at $34/b
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices traded down more than 24 percent on Monday night with Brent crude trading around $34 per barrel after prices crashed as a result of a price war caused by a feud between Russia and Saudi Arabia.
The market fell to the lowest since 1991, adding pressure to economies already weakened by the coronavirus, which has killed 3,800 people and infected over 110,000.
The International benchmark, Brent crude, against which most countries set their benchmark, on Monday night was trading down by 24.34 percent or $11.02 while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures was down by 25.3 percent or $10.44 barrel at $30.84 per barrel.
Last week, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) led by its chair country, Saudi Arabia, agreed to cut production by a larger than expected 1.5 million barrels per day in order to support prices.
It also wanted non-OPEC oil producers, majorly Russia, to agree to cuts, but on Friday at a meeting, the Eastern European country rejected the proposal, causing the meeting to end in deadlock.
In response, Saudi Arabia cut its official selling prices for oil and plans to increase production. The move is believed to be Saudi Arabia’s way of controlling the oil market to make Russia fall into line and come back to the table.
However, the former ally to the producers on Monday said it can withstand as low as $25 per barrel price and added that it will also step up production in April, once the existing OPEC+ deal expires at the end of the month.
Russia’s Finance Minister, Mr Anton Siluanov said that it would draw from its $150 billion national wealth fund from its oil and gas surplus since 2017 in order to boost budget and spending, while oil prices remained at between $25 and $30 per barrel.
It also said it could maintain that level of budget support and cover the lost revenue for the next six to 10 years.
The new development is coming on the heels of weeks of poor performance for the market that occurs as a result of the spread of coronavirus drove renewed fears of a growth slowdown and eventual recession.
With these now, other OPEC members, including Nigeria are expected to pump more oil to capture their own market share, meaning prices could further fall if members don’t come back to the discussion table.
Economy
Nigeria’s Finance Minister Rules Out Seeking IMF Loan
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Minister of Finance, Mr Wale Edun, says Nigeria has no immediate plans to approach the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for financial assistance.
Mr Edun made this known at the African Finance Ministers’ briefing during the IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings on Thursday in Washington, D.C. United States.
He said reliance on ongoing domestic economic reforms was yielding positive results.
According to him, Nigeria’s reforms over the past two years have restored policy credibility and strengthened resilience against global economic shocks affecting many African economies, adding that the country has prioritised market-based adjustments, avoiding administrative controls, particularly in foreign exchange and petroleum pricing mechanisms.
Mr Edun reaffirmed that Nigeria would continue to rely on internal policy measures rather than seeking multilateral lending support at this time.
However, he urged faster and more coordinated financial assistance for African countries amid discussions on a proposed $50 billion global support package.
The Minister said Nigeria had built buffers through reforms, but noted that several African nations remained highly exposed and required urgent external financial support.
He said Nigeria’s reliance on market mechanisms had enabled smoother economic adjustments, reduced disruptions, and sustained the country’s macroeconomic trajectory amid global uncertainties.
However, on Monday, the |Minister said Nigeria would seek stronger international financial support at this week’s IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings as the Iran war lifts fuel costs at home and complicates reforms.
He said ahead of the meeting that surging crude prices had some clear benefits for the country, which is Africa’s top oil producer, boosting foreign exchange earnings.
“But the shock comes at a critical transition point, intensifying inflationary pressures and raising living costs for households,” he added.
Economy
NASD Exchange Depreciates 0.29%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange fell by 0.29 per cent on Thursday, April 16, after two securities plunged at the close of business, offsetting the gains recorded by three securities.
According to data, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) went down by 11.11 points to close at 3,862.98 points compared with the previous day’s 3,874.09 points, and the market capitalisation shrank by N6.64 billion to close at N2.311 trillion compared with the previous day’s N2.317 trillion.
Yesterday, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc declined by N1.36 to trade at N97.64 per share versus Wednesday’s closing price of N99.00 per share, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc slipped by N1.16 to sell at N58.00 per unit compared with the preceding day’s N59.16 per unit.
However, NASD Plc appreciated by N1.14 to N38.50 per share from N37.36 per share, UBN Property Plc improved its share price by 20 Kobo to close at N2.18 per unit versus N1.98 per unit, and Lighthouse Financials Plc added 6 Kobo to sell at 72 Kobo per share, in contrast to the 66 Kobo per share it was traded at midweek.
Trading data showed that the value of securities surged by 124.9 per cent to N64.9 million from N28.9 million, the volume of securities increased by 18.4 per cent to 597,775 units from 505,075 units, and the number of deals rose by 2.5 per cent to 41 deals from 40 deals.
At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 58.8 million units exchanged for N3.9 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.
GNI Plc was also the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion.
Economy
Naira Gains N1.44 Against Dollar at Official Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The value of the Naira improved against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) by N1.44 or 0.11 per cent on Thursday, April 16, to N1,342.30/$1 from Wednesday’s N1,343.74/$1.
In the same vein, the domestic currency appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N3.56 to close at N1,819.36/£1 compared with the previous rate of N1,822.92/£1, and against the Euro, it gained N3.99 to trade at N1,581.09/€1, in contrast to the N1,585.08/€1 it was traded at midweek.
At the black market segment, the Naira appreciated against the greenback yesterday by N5 to sell at N1,375/$1 versus the preceding session’s N1,380/$1, and at the GTBank FX desk, it improved by N16 to settle at N1,355/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,371/$1.
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) data revealed that NFEM interbank turnover decreased to N72.255 million across 82 deals on Thursday, from N114.347 million.
The relative appreciation of the official spot rate suggests there is no significant demand for foreign payments. Meanwhile, external reserves remain at $48.70 billion, down from the 2009 peak of $50 billion amidst uncertainties in the global commodities market.
The global market is looking at forthcoming peace talks between the US and Iran with hopes that it would resolve disruptions to Middle Eastern energy supplies caused by the ongoing war.
As for the cryptocurrency market, it recorded a mixed outcome, as traders weighed possible scenarios ahead of next week’s US-Iran cease-fire deadline.
The market is heavily short, raising the risk of a sharp short squeeze that some traders say could push prices toward $125,000 in the coming months.
Solana (SOL) appreciated by 2.4 per cent to $87.41, Ripple (XRP) jumped 1.5 per cent to $1.42, Cardano (ADA) rose 0.9 per cent to $0.2525, Binance Coin (BNB) increased by 0.5 per cent to $628.32, Dogecoin (DOGE) gained 0.3 per cent to finish at $0.0969, and TRON (TRX) expanded by 0.1 per cent to $0.3257.
On the flip side, Ethereum (ETH) depreciated by 1.6 per cent to $2,320.35, and Bitcoin (BTC) went down by 0.5 per cent to $74,677.83, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
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