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Latest US-China Trade Development Spurs Gains in Oil

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crude oil prices

By Adedapo Adesanya 

Oil prices on Monday gained following positive comments from the world’s two largest economies. The latest development on the US-China trade talk brought about hopes for the global market.

Following this, Brent crude traded up by 29 cents or 0.46 percent to settle at $62.66 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $58.04 per barrel after gaining 27 cents or 0.47 percent.

The premise that the United States and China could soon complete the phase one deal to end the 16 months tariff war is a good arrangement for oil prices.

Monday’s higher opening prices came after US national security adviser Robert O’Brien said on Saturday that an initial trade agreement with China is still possible by December.

This came a day after US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping expressed a desire to sign an initial trade deal that has seen oil prices shaken through lowered global growth.

President Trump noted that he had yet to decide whether or not he wanted to a deal with China while his counterpart, President Xi, said he would not be afraid to retaliate when necessary.

On Monday, China’s foreign ministry disclosed that it hopes the United States will work with it on a basis of equality and mutual respect on the ongoing bilateral trade negotiations.

According to market analysts, a move by China to protect intellectual property will most likely provide support for the trade talks.

A major issue that could see both countries at loggerheads will be Hong-Kong as the US has made it known that it would not turn a blind eye to the anti-government protest which are founded on abuse of freedom and rights.

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) expectation to extend oil output cuts till June 2020 also looks good for oil demand and prices.

However, this output policy of OPEC is subjected to the December meeting scheduled for Vienna on 5 and 6, with the Joint Technical Committee expected to meet on December 4 before the meeting kicks off the next day.

Business Post‘s analysis shows that prices could be pushed higher if the OPEC alliance agrees to extend its supply cut by three more months to mid-2020.

This would also ensure a reduction in oil supply from the cartel and its members and allies which will reduce the risk of an oversupply in 2020.

Fatal unrest in middle Eastern countries of Iran and Iraq that has seen protesters shot and killed at have also pushed oil prices north.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Naira Trades N1,348/$1 as CBN Opens Official Market to BDC Operators

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira appreciated against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, February 11, by N2.07 or 0.15 per cent to N1,348.95/$1 from N1,351.02/$1 as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) moved to further ease shortages and narrow the gap between the official and street rates.

The CBN approved the participation of licensed Bureaux De Change (BDC) operators in the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) as part of efforts to improve forex liquidity in the retail segment of the market and meet the legitimate needs of end users.

The apex bank capped the weekly FX purchases at $150,000, adding that utilisation complies with existing BDC operational guidelines.

In the same official market, the Nigerian currency gained N6.46 against the Pound Sterling to quote at N1,840.11/£1 versus N1,846.57/£1, and added N6.36 on the Euro to close at N1,600.13/€1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,606.49/€1.

At the GTBank FX counter, the Nigerian Naira gained N5 on the greenback to settle at N1,358/$1 versus the previous day’s N1,363/$1, but remained unchanged at N1,430/$1 in the black market.

Meanwhile, the digital currency market was bearish yesterday as traders sold their positions after digesting a more hawkish macro outlook.

Analysts mainly attributed the latest crypto selloff to shifting expectations around US macro policy, following a “hawkish shift” in Federal Reserve expectations after Kevin Warsh’s nomination as chairman of the US central bank, which signals tighter liquidity and fewer rate cuts ahead.

Traders will be watching key US labour market data for signs on the future path of interest rates and broader risk appetite.

Solana (SOL) shed 3.2 per cent to sell at $79.86, Ethereum (ETH) depreciated by 2.7 per cent to $1,958.44, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 1.5 per cent to $67,540.62, Cardano (ADA) slid 1.5 per cent to $0.2579, Ripple (XRP) dipped 1.4 per cent to $1.37, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped 1.2 per cent to $609.73, Litecoin (LTC) went down by 1.2 per cent to $52.58, and Dogecoin (DOGE) crashed by 1.1 per cent to $0.0917, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closed flat at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Nigerian Stocks Near N115trn Valuation After Midweek’s 0.78% Rise

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By Dipo Olowookere

The positive momentum witnessed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited lately continued on Wednesday after it further closed higher by 0.78 per cent.

More investors are showing interest in Nigerian stocks because of the recent bull run, leaving the market capitalisation to grow further by N880 billion yesterday to N114.377 trillion from N113.497 trillion, while the All-Share Index (ASI) increased by 1,374.93 points to 178,184.35 points from 176,809.42 points.

Though the level of activity waned at midweek, data showed that it remained high, with a turnover of 939.2 million shares worth N34.0 billion in 61,279 deals compared with the 1.3 billion shares valued at N50.4 billion traded in 58,965 deals in the preceding session.

This showed that the trading volume went down by 27.75 per cent, and the trading value shrank by 32.54 per cent, while the number of deals jumped 3.92 per cent.

The busiest equity on Wednesday was Tantalizers with the sale of 85.3 million units worth N498.8 million, Access Holdings transacted 61.4 million units for N1.5 billion, Chams exchanged 38.6 million units valued at N174.1 million, Japaul sold 38.2 million units worth N89.5 million, and Deap Capital sold 36.8 million units valued at N314.1 million.

Fortis Global Insurance, Consolidated Hallmark, Nestle Nigeria, and Meyer all gained 10.00 per cent each to close at 33 Kobo, N4.95, N2,420.00, and N20.90 apiece, and CAP rose by 9.98 per cent to N99.20.

On the flip side, Honeywell Flour declined by 9.70 per cent to N22.80, Neimeth slipped by 9.15 per cent to N12.90, The Initiates crashed by 5.81 per cent to N19.45, RT Briscoe tumbled by 5.70 per cent to N14.40, and Sterling Holdings depreciated by 5.56 per cent to N7.65.

At the close of business, 49 stocks ended on the gainers’ table and 31 stocks finished on the losers’ chart, showing a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.

As for the performance of the bourse’s sectors, four of the five monitored by Business Post were in green, with the industrial goods down by 0.02 per cent due to profit-taking in Lafarge Africa.

The banking counter improved by 1.58 per cent, the insurance counter appreciated by 1.53 per cent, the consumer goods index gained 1.28 per cent, and the energy sector soared by 0.02 per cent.

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Economy

Oil Prices Rise on Fresh Iran-US Tensions

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices gained about 1 per cent on Wednesday, as investors worried about escalating tensions between Iran and the United States, which were preparing to resume negotiations.

Brent crude oil futures chalked up 60 cents or 0.87 per cent to sell for $69.40 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures appreciated by 67 cents or 1.05 per cent to $64.63 per barrel.

US President Donald Trump said nothing definitive was decided during his meeting with the Prime Minister of Israel, Mr Benjamin Netanyahu, on Wednesday, but that negotiations with Iran toward a deal would continue.

On Tuesday, the American leader said he was considering sending a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East if a deal is not reached with Iran, even as both oil producers are prepared to resume talks.

US and Iranian diplomats held indirect talks last week in Oman, amid a regional naval buildup by the US threatening Iran. The date and venue of the next round of talks have yet to be announced.

After talks between US and Iranian teams in Oman on February 6, the US government imposed additional sanctions on Iran’s oil sector.

Meanwhile, Iran signalled readiness for nuclear verification while denying any intent to build weapons.

Also supporting oil prices was data showing that US job growth unexpectedly accelerated in January and the unemployment rate fell to 4.3 per cent, signalling a healthy economy.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) left its oil supply-demand expectations largely unchanged in its monthly report, but highlighted that global oil demand for the wider group’s crude will drop by 400,000 barrels per day in the second quarter compared to the first.

The OPEC+ group, comprising OPEC nations, plus other allies, began raising output last year after years of cuts, but paused production hikes in the first quarter of 2026 amid predictions of a glut. Eight OPEC+ members meet on March 1, where they are expected to decide whether to resume the hikes in April.

Crude oil inventories in the US increased by 8.5 million barrels during the week ending February 6, according to new data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released on Wednesday. The increase brings commercial stockpiles to 428.8 million barrels according to government data.

EIA’s data release followed earlier figures released by the American Petroleum Institute (API), which suggested that crude oil inventories rose by 13.4 million barrels.

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