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Economy

Moving Towards Debt Sustainability

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external debt service

By FSDH Research

The drop in government’s revenue in the face of the rising government expenditure has led to an increase in Nigeria’s public debt (external and domestic debt).

Consequently, the ratio of debt service-to-revenue has reached unsustainable levels. The Debt Management Office (DMO) in its 2016 Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) report notes that the debt service-to-revenue ratio (external and domestic debt service) of the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN), excluding states and local governments breached the country’s specific threshold of 28%.

However, the FGN is taking steps towards debt sustainability by diversifying its debt profile through the issuance of the FGN Savings Bond, Diaspora Bond and Sukuk.

Additionally, the DMO disclosed that the FGN plans to refinance domestic debt, particularly the high cost Nigerian Treasury Bills (NTB) by issuing US$3bn in foreign debt of longer tenor. The planned refinancing is in line with the debt management strategy of the FGN for 2016-2019, with the overall objective of reducing its total cost of borrowing to achieve the country’s strategic target of an optimal debt mix of 60% and 40% for domestic and external debts, respectively.

Our analysis of the data from the DMO as at June 2017 shows that Nigeria’s total debt stock stood at N19.64trn, representing an increase of 13.12% from the December 2016 figure of N17.36trn.

A breakdown of the debt stock shows that external debt accounted for 23.44% (N4.60trn), while domestic debt stock accounted for 76.56% (N15.03trn).

If the DMO were to move the external debt position as at June 2017 to the planned optimal level of 40%, it means that it would have to refinance N3.25trn of the local debt in favour of the external debt.

Looking at the FGN’s debt structure, the domestic debt component stood at N12.03trn as at June 2017. NTB, which is the short-term debt, accounted for 30.77% or N3.70trn of the domestic debt of the FGN. This is higher than the target of 25% under the debt management strategy.

Consequently, the FGN is likely to replace the short-term debt with long-term debt to achieve its debt structure target. The planned restructuring of the debt stock of the FGN will result in a reduction in the average weighted cost of borrowing.

This reduction in the cost of borrowing will be as a result of lower interest rates in the international market and a reduction in the holdings of high cost NTBs.

The average yield on the 364-Day NTB from January till September 20, 2017 is 22.50% compared with the average yield on the FGN 6.375% July 2023 Eurobond of 5.85%.

Following the FSDH Research report issued on August 28, 2017 titled “A Drop in the Nigerian Treasury Bills Yield Imminent” the yield on the 364-Day NTB dropped from 22.72% in August 30, 2017 to 20.47% on September 21, 2017. The yield on the FGN Bond has also dropped in the market.

The total amount of domestic debt service in 2016 stood at N1.20trn and represents 58% of the federal allocation disbursed to the FGN. As at June 2017, the total domestic debt service stood at N684.45bn, representing 62% of the total FGN allocation of N1.10trn for the period. This represents an improvement from total domestic debt service as at March 2017, which stood at N449bn representing 82% of the total FGN allocation for the period.

We note that FGN revenue has been challenged in the last two years on account of the drop in oil revenue.

Furthermore, the fact that a significant part of government revenue goes towards interest payments means that little revenue is left for the government to undertake capital projects. The FGN needs to improve critical infrastructure in the country to increase the competitiveness of the economy to attract investments and maintain economic growth.

This effort coupled with the current tax reform of the FGN, will increase revenue accrued to the government and improve the debt service-to-revenue ratio. As the yields on the FGN securities continue to drop there will be opportunities for more activities in the corporate bond market.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Strong Competitive Position Earns Fidson Healthcare Rating Upgrade

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fidson healthcare

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The national scale long-term issuer rating of Fidson Healthcare Plc has been upgraded to A+(NG) from A(NG), with its short-term issuer ratings of A1(NG) affirmed.

This action was taken by GCR Ratings, which also accorded the leading healthcare organisation in Nigeria with a stable outlook in a statement obtained by Business Post.

It was explained that the company achieved this latest development amid its strong competitive position and improved financial profile.

GCR said Fidson Healthcare’s debt metrics remain moderate, bolstered by a successful N21 billion rights issue expected in Q2 2026 and robust cash flows that support strong liquidity, though large expansionary investments and heightened working capital requirements slightly constrain the rating.

Fidson is a prominent pharmaceutical manufacturer in Nigeria, with over 350 products registered with the National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC). Its product portfolio encompasses a wide range of therapeutic categories, including antibiotics, infusion products, over-the-counter products, and lifestyle healthcare solutions.

The company is enhancing its market position through ongoing investments in manufacturing capacity, product innovation, automation, and operational efficiency.

The firm operates through an extensive network of over 120 distributors across Nigeria, ensuring strong retail visibility and market penetration.

To further strengthen its competitive position, the company is investing in a greenfield automated manufacturing facility, additional infusion lines, and expanded tablet lines, all expected to become operational in the near term. This capital expenditure will significantly increase productive capacity, improve operational efficiency, and enhance export competitiveness in the medium term.

In terms of its liquidity assessment, its 12-month sources versus uses coverage at 1.6x and 24-month coverage at 1.4x, supported by access to diverse funding sources.

Estimated liquidity sources include forecasted operating cash flow of N15.1 billion, cash holdings of N4.7 billion, inventory valued at approximately N17.5 billion, and cash of N21 billion from the equity raise. These resources are sufficient to cover anticipated near-maturing debt obligations of N23.4 billion and forecast medium-term capital spending of around N20 billion, as well as a dividend payout of N3.7 billion in 2026.

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Economy

Esiet Promises Open-door Policy at Customs Eastern Marine Command

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Esien Etim Esiet

By Bon Peters

The new acting Comptroller of the Eastern Marine Command of the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS), Mr Esien Etim Esiet, a Deputy Comptroller of Customs, has promised to maintain an open-door policy with stakeholders, including licensed agents and partners.

He gave this assurance when he officially assumed leadership of the command on Wednesday, May 20, 2026, according to a statement issued by the command’s spokesman, Mr Joshua Iliya, a Deputy Superintendent of Customs (DSC), in Port Harcourt, Rivers State.

In a proactive move to strengthen maritime security and trade facilitation, he immediately initiated an extensive tour of operational facilities and high-level engagements across the region, including Rivers (Abonnema and Onne Outstations), Akwa Ibom (Oron Outstation), and Cross River (Calabar Outstation) States.

During the visitations, Mr Esiet conducted rigorous inspections of equipment and personnel readiness, emphasising that the success of the command relied on a united front, adding that a “sustained synergy is our greatest weapon in combating smuggling and maritime crimes,” insisting that a united front was non-negotiable for national security.

On the inter-agency level to foster a one-service approach, DC Esiet held strategic meetings with the Customs Area Controllers of Port Harcourt II (Onne), the Oil and Gas Free Trade Zone, and the Cross River/Calabar Free Trade Zone/Akwa Ibom Area Command.

To further reinforce maritime safety, he equally paid courtesy visits to top maritime security brass, including the Commander, NNS Pathfinder, Port Harcourt, the Commanding Officer, Navy Forward Operation Base (FOB), Ibaka, the Flag Officer Commanding (FOC), Eastern Naval Command, and the Cross River State Commissioner of Police.

On community and private sector partnership and in recognition of the vital role of grassroots support, DC Esiet visited monarchs in the region, underscoring commitment to maintaining deep-rooted ties with host communities, among others.

On fiscal policy compliance, he reiterated his administration’s resolve to strictly align with the policy direction of the Comptroller-General of Customs, Mr Bashir Adewale Adeniyi, emphasising that his leadership would focus on streamlining maritime enforcement protocols, ensuring officers were motivated and equipped while maintaining an open-door policy with licensed agents and partners.

The Eastern Marine Command, which is a specialised wing of customs, is dedicated to patrolling the nation’s Eastern Waterways, preventing smuggling, and ensuring the security of maritime trade.

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Economy

OTC Securities Exchange Slips 0.02% Amid Surge in Trading Activity

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Nigerian OTC securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange recorded a marginal loss of 0.02 per cent on Tuesday, May 26, due to selling pressure, as investors cut down their exposure to unlisted stocks.

During the session, the volume of securities traded by investors jumped by 45.6 per cent to 2.2 million units from the previous day’s 1.5 million units, the value of securities increased by 119.5 per cent to N129.9 million from the N59.2 million recorded a day earlier, and the number of deals soared by 92.6 per cent to 52 deals from the preceding day’s 27 deals.

At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, trailed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and Central Securities and Clearing System (CSCS) Plc with 61.2 million units exchanged for N4.1 billion.

GNI Plc was also the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc followed with 1.1 billion units traded for N415.7 million.

Five securities recorded various movements yesterday at the OTC securities exchange, with three price gainers and two price losers.

For the advancers, they were led by 11 Plc, which added N22.11 to its share price to close at N243.11 per unit versus N221.10 per unit, CSCS Plc grew by N2.95 to N77.80 per share from N74.85 per share, and IPWA Plc expanded by 80 Kobo to N8.83 per unit from N8.03 per unit.

On the flip side, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc shrank by N12.11 to N167.89 per share from N180.00 per share, and Geo-Fluids Plc lost 2 Kobo to sell at N2.98 per unit versus Monday’s N3.00 per unit.

As a result, the market capitalisation dropped N600 million to close at N2.571 trillion compared with the previous day’s N2.571 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) fell by 1.00 points to 4,297.17 points from 4,298.17 points.

The market will be closed on Wednesday (May 27) and Thursday (May 28) for the Eid al-Kabir holidays.

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