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Nigeria Adds 77,000bpd Crude Oil in October, Remains Below OPEC Target

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria continued to lag in its crude oil production despite increasing its output by 77,000 barrels per day in October, but it wasn’t enough to return the country to the top of the table as Africa’s largest producer.

The country is now in the fourth position behind the trio of Angola, Algeria, and Libya due to its continued inability to meet the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) oil quota.

In the month under review, Algeria drilled 1.060 million barrels per day, Angola produced 1.051 million barrels per day, Libya’s output was 1.163 million barrels per day, while Nigeria’s oil production stood at 1.024 million barrels per day.

Even though Algeria gained a paltry 2,000 barrels per day, it lost 40,000 barrels per day, with Libya gaining 6,000 barrels per day, according to OPEC’s secondary source in its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) published on Monday.

Giving its review of Nigeria’s economic environment, OPEC noted, “Nigeria’s economic outlook has been impacted by the devastating rains and floods that affected 31 of Nigeria’s 36 states and has resulted in a significant loss of land, lives and livelihoods. The latest data suggested that record-high inflation continues to persist.”

“Upward price pressures were mainly caused by supply disruptions amid the widespread flooding and higher import costs. However, considering the broad money-supply growth of 21% y-o-y in August, there is a significant monetary component behind the inflationary spiral,” it added.

The cartel warned, “the inflationary pressures are suppressing consumption spending, which might weigh on the growth of household volume consumption.”

OPEC’s crude oil production dropped by 210,000 barrels per day in the month under review compared to the previous month after the cartel, and the wider OPEC+ group reversed the small output increase in September.

The crude oil production of all 13 OPEC members, including those exempt from the OPEC+ pact – Venezuela, Iran, and Libya – averaged 29.49 million barrels per day in October.

Saudi Arabia, the de facto leader of OPEC and its top producer, saw its production decline by 149,000 barrels per day to an average of 10.838 million barrels per day last month, as OPEC+ decided in early September to reverse a 100,000 barrels per day increase in target oil production, which was only intended for September.

Saudi Arabia’s production dropped the most among OPEC members and was below the targeted production level of 11.004 million barrels per day per the schedule the OPEC+ meeting had adopted. The Kingdom self-reported higher production for October than secondary sources’ estimates, at 10.957 million barrels per day, down by 84,000 barrels per day compared to September.

Production in Angola saw the second-steepest drop in OPEC producers in October, but it wasn’t the result of a conscious reduction since the top African producer has been lagging behind its quota for many months. Angola’s crude oil production fell by 78,000 barrels per day to 1.067 million barrels per day in October, according to OPEC’s secondary sources.

Over the coming months, OPEC’s production is set to decline further after the OPEC+ alliance decided to reduce its collective target by 2 million barrels per day for November.

Although the actual cut is expected to be around half that number, at 1.1 million barrels per day, it still is the biggest cut since the record production reduction announced in April 2020 when oil demand plunged at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Unlisted Securities Rise 1.75% on Renewed Interest

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unlisted securities index

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange gained 1.75 per cent on Wednesday, July 15, pushing the NASD Security Index (NSI) up by 74.20 points to 4,316.51 points from 4,242.31 points, as the market capitalisation added N44.54 billion to finish at N2.590 trillion compared with the preceding session’s N2.546 trillion.

During the session, there was an 11.5 per cent rise in the value of transactions at midweek to N72.7 million from the preceding session’s N65.2 million, as there was a 3.7 per cent growth in the number of deals to 28 deals from the previous session’s 27 deals, while the volume of securities slumped by 64.5 per cent to 4.9 million units from 13.7 million units.

At the close of trades, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc ended as the most active security by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, with the second spot occupied by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc after selling 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and the third position was taken by Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc, which exchanged 74.3 million units for N5.3 billion.

GNI Plc also finished the trading day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with a turnover of 3.4 billion units traded for N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units transacted for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million.

Business Post reports that the market breadth index was negative yesterday, as there were two price gainers and three price losers.

11 Plc added N22.36 to its value to close at N250.00 per share versus N227.64 per share, and CSCS Plc improved by N7.95 to N90.35 per unit from N82.40 per unit.

On the flip side, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc lost N1.37 to end at N150.00 per share versus N151.37 per share, UBN Property Plc depreciated by 6 Kobo to N1.75 per unit from N1.81 per unit, and Food Concepts Plc dropped 1 Kobo to close at N2.49 per share versus N2.50 per share.

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Economy

Naira Rebounds Slightly to N1,382/$1 at Official Market

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Pressure on the Naira eased on Wednesday, July 15, as it appreciated against the United States Dollar by 90 Kobo or 0.07 per cent on Tuesday, July 15, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to close at N1,382.18/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,383.08/$1.

Also, the local currency gained a further N4.07 against the Euro in the official market to sell at N1,576.69/€1 versus Tuesday’s rate of N1,583.76/€1, but depreciated against the Pound Sterling by N1.71 to quote at N1,856.69/£1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,854.98/£1.

At the GTBank forex counter, the Naira lost N1 against the greenback at midweek to close at N1,389/$1 compared with the preceding day’s N1,388/$1, and at the black market, it traded flat at N1,405/$1.

Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that interbank FX turnover moderated as trading activities among financial institutions and market makers declined sharply.

Daily FX data released showed that NFEM interbank FX turnover closed the day at $121.727 million, about 50 per cent below the previous record of $243.095 million set on Tuesday.

Official trading records released by the central bank revealed that interbank FX deals among market makers went down from the previous day to 115 from 140.

Inflation news also eased pressure, even if the print dropped marginally to 15.91 per cent in June, a 0.2 per cent reduction from the 15.93 per cent recorded in the preceding month. The month-on-month headline inflation rate in June 2026 was 1.66 per cent, which was 0.09 per cent lower than the rate recorded in May 2026, which came in at 1.75 per cent.

In the crypto market, prices were mixed as some traders banked on softer-than-expected US inflation reports for June, while others say the inflation data is obsolete, given the renewed strength in oil prices, which sparked after fresh fighting in the Middle East.

US inflation had earlier cooled more than expected, sharply reducing market odds of a near-term Federal Reserve rate hike.

Ethereum (ETH) rose by 1.9 per cent to $1,921.62, Ripple (XRP) appreciated by 0.4 per cent to $1.11, and Binance Coin (BNB) also increased by 0.4 per cent to $582.42.

However, Solana (SOL) dropped 1.3 per cent to finish at $77.29, TRON (TRX) slumped by 0.8 per cent to $0.3240, Dogecoin (DOGE) shrank by 0.6 per cent to $0.0741, Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 0.3 per cent to $64,762.28, and Cardano (ADA) lost 0.2 per cent to end at $0.1640, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Nigerian Exchange Drops 0.21%

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

By Dipo Olowookere

A 0.21 per cent loss was suffered by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Wednesday, as investor chew on the contraction in Nigeria’s June 2026 inflation rate to 15.91 per cent, according to data released during the session by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

It was observed that the consumer goods sector lost 1.24 per cent, the industrial goods space shed 0.23 per cent, and the energy index crashed by 0.10 per cent, with these losses offsetting the gains recorded by the financial services sector, as the banking segment rose by 4.53 per cent, and the insurance counter chalked up 1.23 per cent.

Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) retreated by 503.69 points to 242,366.75 points from 242,870.44 points, but the market capitalisation added N390 billion to close at N156.239 trillion compared with the previous session’s N155.849 trillion.

During the trading day, Trans-Nationwide Express shed 9.85 per cent to end at N3.02, International Breweries moderated by 6.12 per cent to N13.05, Haldane McCall slipped by 5.95 per cent to N3.32, DAAR Communications declined by 5.68 per cent to N1.66, and NGX Group lost 4.38 per cent to finish at N28.12.

On the flip side, First Holdco improved by 9.98 per cent to N79.35, Thomas Wyatt expanded by 9.29 per cent to N2.94, Legend Internet gained 8.99 per cent to settle at N4.85, Tripple Gee grew by 8.96 per cent to N3.89, and Coronation Insurance increased by 6.61 per cent to N2.42.

Yesterday, market participants transacted 476.3 million stocks worth N29.6 billion in 40,992 deals compared with the 634.8 million stocks valued at N53.3 billion traded in 42,494 deals, showing a decline in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 24.97 per cent, 44.47 per cent, and 3.54 per cent, respectively.

First Holdco was the busiest equity with 78.7 million units sold for N6.2 billion, Sterling Holdings transacted 56.7 million units worth N439.2 million, Zenith Bank traded 30.0 million units valued at N3.3 billion, Fidelity Bank exchanged 27.3 million units for N563.9 million, and Stanbic IBTC traded 22.8 million units valued at N3.8 billion.

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