Economy
Oil Falls on Effect of Economic Data on US Inflation

By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil slid on Monday as economic data in the United States had investors bracing for more interest rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve to fight inflation, which could slow economic growth and oil demand.
Brent futures fell by 71 cents or 0.9 per cent to settle at $82.45 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell by 64 cents or 0.8 per cent to settle at $75.68 per barrel.
New orders for key US-manufactured capital goods increased more than expected in January while shipments rebounded, suggesting that business spending on equipment picked up at the start of the first quarter.
It joined solid consumer spending and robust employment data in painting an upbeat picture of the world’s largest economy.
The string of strong data has raised the risk that the Federal Reserve could hike interest rates to a higher level than currently estimated.
The US central bank has raised its policy rate by 450 basis points since last March from near zero to a 4.50 per cent-4.75 per cent range.
It is expected to deliver two additional rate hikes of 25 basis points in March and May, though financial markets are betting on another increase in June.
As a key economy, the US data drives the market, with Federal Reserve Governor Philip Jefferson saying on Monday that inflation remained stubborn, though slower-growing wages might help slow prices in those parts of the economy as well.
The US central bank is moving to make clear progress back towards its 2 per cent inflation target.
Adding to global oil demand worries is the rising US-China tensions. On Sunday, White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said China has not moved toward providing Russia with lethal aid for use against Ukraine and added it has made clear behind closed doors that such a move would have serious consequences.
Losses were limited by oil supply concerns after Russia halted exports to Poland via a key pipeline.
Russia, meanwhile, halted supplies of oil to Poland via the Druzhba pipeline after Poland said it had delivered its first Leopard tanks to Ukraine.
On Monday, Russian oil pipeline monopoly Transneft said it started pumping oil from Kazakhstan to Germany via Poland through the Druzhba pipeline while halting deliveries to Poland.
Russia had announced plans this month to cut oil exports from its western ports by up to 25 per cent in March versus February, exceeding previously planned production cuts of 5 per cent.
Economy
NNPC May Sell Refineries After Years of Struggle—Ojulari

By Adedapo Adesanya
The chief executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, Mr Bashir Bayo Ojulari, has hinted at the possibility of selling off the country’s refineries.
In an interview with Bloomberg on Thursday, Mr Ojulari said the NNPC was currently reassessing the refineries’ strategies and could finalise the review by year-end.
The NNPC boss spoke to the news platform on the sidelines of the 9th OPEC international seminar in Vienna, Austria, admitting that it was becoming a ‘bit more’ complicated to revamp state-owned refineries.
Nigeria has four crude oil refineries, all managed by the NNPC Limited. These oil facilities have long struggled with underperformance, inefficiency, and maintenance issues.
There have been increased calls over the years to hand these refineries located in Port Harcourt, Warri, and Kaduna to the private sector for efficient management and productivity.
Recall that in November 2024, the state oil refinery said the Port Harcourt refinery had officially commenced crude oil processing, but the refinery shut down in May for maintenance.
The Warri and Kaduna refineries are, however, still undergoing rehabilitation.
“So, refineries, we made quite a lot of investment over the last several years and brought in a lot of technologies. We’ve been challenged,” he said.
“Some of those technologies have not worked as we expected so far. But also, as you know, when you’re refining a very old refinery that has been abandoned for some time, what we’re finding is that it’s becoming a little bit more complicated.
“So, we’re reviewing all our refinery strategies now. We hope before the end of the year, we’ll be able to conclude that review. That review may lead to us doing things slightly differently,” he added.
However, Mr Ojulari said NNPC remains uncertain whether the review will result in the sale of the refineries.
“But what we’re saying is that sale is not out of the question. All the options are on the table, to be frank, but that decision will be based on the outcome of the reviews we’re doing now,” he said.
Economy
Nigeria Weighs Options to Cut $4bn in Steel Imports

By Adedapo Adesanya
The Minister of Steel, Mr Shuaibu Audu, says Nigeria is weighing measures to cut loses totalling $4 billion annually in foreign exchange (FX) to imported steel products.
He disclosed this during a press conference on Thursday to announce the maiden National Steel Summit coming up on July 15, 2025, assuring Nigerians that before the expiration of the first term of President Bola Tinubu’s administration, the first section of the Ajaokuta Steel Plant should kickstart operation.
He stated that President Tinubu has been actively working to ensure the utilisation of the abundant raw steel materials in Nigeria and the emergence of a steel sector in the country.
Private players like Africa’s richest man, Mr Aliko Dangote, had initially planned to foray into steel manufacturing, but abandoned plans to enter Nigeria’s steel industry after he said he was facing allegations of increased monopoly in Nigeria’s core sectors. He already has interests in food, energy, and cement sectors.
Mr Dangote earlier set his sights on the Nigerian steel market as a possible venture in the future after successful inputs in food, cement, and energy.
But last year, the billionaire businessman explained that the company’s board decided to avoid the steel industry to prevent accusations of attempting to monopolize it
“About doing a new business which we announced, that is the steel, our board has decided that we shouldn’t do the steel because if we do the steel business, we will be called all sorts of names like monopoly, and imports will be encouraged. So we don’t want to go into that,” he said during an interview at the Afreximbank Afro-Caribbean Trade & Investment Forum in Nassau, The Bahamas, in June 2024.
Mr Dangote called on other Nigerians to invest in the industry to help boost the country’s economy.
Despite the local material wealth, 70 per cent of Nigeria’s yearly steel demand of around 10 million metric tonnes is imported.
Nigeria spends the $4 billion on steel imports annually despite having around 74 steel plants and fabricators across the country, according to the Ministry of Steel Development.
Economy
Market Capitaliation of NASD Exchange Crosses N2trn

By Adedapo Adesanya
The market capitalisation of NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange crossed the N2 trillion milestone again on Thursday, July 10 after the bourse expanded by 0.62 per cent.
During the trading session, the value of all stocks on the NASD exchange went up by N12.4 billion to finish at N2.005 trillion compared with the preceding day’s N1.992 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) increased by 21.18 points to settle at 3,424.19 points, in contrast to the previous session’s 3,403.01 points.
The alternative stock exchange recorded four price gainers at the session and two price losers.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc gained N3.64 to close at N63.89 per unit versus N60.25 per unit, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc added N1.17 to end at N32.44 per share versus N31.50 per share, Geo-Fluids Plc grew by 40 Kobo to N4.79 per unit from N4.39 per unit, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc chalked up 1 Kobo to quote at 35 Kobo per share compared with the 34 Kobo per share it ended a day earlier.
On the flip side, Afriland Properties Plc lost N1.67 to trade at N19.17 per unit compared with the N17.50 per unit it was sold at midweek, and UBN Property Plc depreciated by 1 Kobo to sell for N1.91 per share compared with the previous day’s N1.92 per share.
Yesterday, the volume of trades declined by 20.1 per cent to 3.08 million units from the 3.9 million units recorded a day earlier, but the value of transactions appreciated by 53.7 per cent to N25.1 million from N16.1 million, and the number of deals increased by 29.2 per cent to 31 deals from 24 deals.
Okitipupa Plc finished the session as the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 153.8 million units valued at N4.9 billion, trailed by Air Liquide Plc with 507.2 million units sold for N4.2 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 42.0 million units worth N1.8 billion.
Impresit Bakolori Plc closed the day as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 536.9 million units sold for N524.8 million, followed by Air Liquide Plc with 507.2 million worth N4.2 billion, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 270.7 million units sold for N486.0 million.
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