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Reigniting Investors’ Interest in FGN Savings Bond

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Savings Bond

By FSDH Research

Investors’ participation in the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) Savings Bond has not been impressive since the introduction of the Bond in March 2017 despite the increase in the coupon rate (interest rate) on the Bond.

The amount allotted dropped consistently from N2.07billion in March 2017 to N400.57million in July 2017.

The total number of investors in the FGN Savings Bond also dropped from 2,575 in March 2017 to 779 in July 2017.

The coupon rate on the 2-year Bond which was 13.01% in March 2017 stood at 13.39% in July 2017 while the coupon rate on the 3-year Bond which was 13.79% in April, the first time a 3-year bond was issued, stood at 14.39% in July 2017. There is a need for all the stakeholders in the Bond to reignite investors’ interest in it.

In March 2017, the Debt Management Office (DMO), on behalf of the FGN, introduced the monthly FGN Savings Bond (FGN SB) as part of its efforts to promote the savings culture in Nigeria and improve financial inclusion, particularly amongst retail investors.

The Bond also provides additional funding for the government and helps to broaden the country’s funding base.

It offers guaranteed return in the form of a fixed quarterly interest payment. The minimum investment is N5,000 while the maximum investment is N50million. Investors can subscribe to the Bond through their preferred stockbroking firms on a monthly basis. Some of the important features of the Bond are: income earned on the Bond is exempted from tax payment; it can be traded in the secondary market on the floor of The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE); it is backed by the full faith and credit of the FGN; it commands a higher interest rate (coupon rate) than the traditional savings account in banks; the Bond is acceptable as collateral for loans by banks and it serves as good savings towards retirement, wedding, school fees, house projects, etc.

Between March 2017 and July 2017 a total amount of N5.15billion was raised through the FGN Savings Bond. The highest amount allotted so far was N2.07billion in March 2017 while the lowest amount was N400.57million in July 2017.

The coupon rates for the August 2017 offer are 13.535% and 14.535% for the 2-year Bond and 3-year Bond respectively. This means that the August Bond issues carried higher coupon rates than the July issues and represent the highest coupon rates since inception. The persistent increase in the coupon rates has not attracted enough subscription to the Bond despite the steady decrease in the inflation rate in the country since January 2017.

One of the factors we can attribute to this development is the rally that dominated the equity market in Nigeria since the introduction of the Bond in March 2017.

The Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (NSE ASI) appreciated by 51.47% between March 01, 2017 and August 9, 2017. Many retail investors diverted funds to the equity market to take advantage of capital appreciation.

Other factors are: the low awareness of the benefits and characteristics of the Bond; the low liquidity of the Bond at the secondary market and the high yield on the Nigerian Treasury Bill (NTB).

The following strategies can be adopted to increase investors’ participation in the FGN Savings Bonds: The DMO and the Stockbrokers can organize investors’ roadshows in various cities and schools across the country. This will be an avenue to directly engage retail investors on the need for them to hold the Bonds in their investment portfolio.

They can start with a pilot scheme in Lagos, Abuja, Port Harcourt and Kano. The DMO can work with some identified large corporate organizations that have large number of employees to encourage their employees to invest in the Bonds on a monthly basis.

The DMO can also work with government agencies to encourage civil servants to invest in the Bond. We believe these strategies should be able to attract a minimum of 1million subscribers on a monthly basis.

If this is achieved and the monthly subscription amount increases, the overall weighted average interest rate on the FGN debt will drop.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

NASD Exchange Rises 1.22% on Sustained Bargain-Hunting

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NASD OTC exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

Strong appetite for unlisted stocks further raised the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 1.22 per cent on Friday, February 27.

Data revealed that the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) was up by 49.41 points to 4,083.87 points from 4,034.46 points, and lifted the market capitalisation by N19.56 billion to N2.433 trillion from N2.413 trillion.

The volume of securities bought and sold by investors increased by 243.0 per cent to 4.5 million units from 1.3 million units, and the number of deals grew by 15.8 per cent to 44 deals from 38 deals, while the value of securities went down by 19.7 per cent to N82.5 million from N102.8 million.

Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc ended the session as the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 35.0 million units valued at N2.1 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 6.3 million units worth N1.1 billion, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 122.8 million units transacted for N480.4 million.

Resourcery Plc ended the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.05 billion units sold for N408.7 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 122.8 million units valued at N480.4 million, and CSCS Plc with 35.0 million units traded for N2.1 billion.

There were six price gainers yesterday led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which added N9.02 to close at N111.46 per unui compared with the previous day’s N102.44 per unit, Nipco Plc appreciated by N6.00 to N284.00 per share from N278.00 per share, CSCS Plc recouped N1.87 to sell at N70.12 per unit versus Thursday’s value of N68.25 per unit, Geo-Fluids Plc improved by 17 Kobo to close at N3.18 per share versus N3.01 per share, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc advanced by 5 Kobo to sell at N50 Kobo per unit versus the preceding day’s 45 Kobo per unit, and Acorn Petroleum Plc chalked up 2 Kobo to settle at N1.34 per share, in contrast to the previous day’s N1.32 per share.

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Economy

FX Liquidity Crunch Sinks Naira to N1,363/$1 at NAFEX, N1,370/$1 at Black Market

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naira official market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira performed poorly against the United States Dollar in the different segments of the foreign exchange (FX) market on February 27, closing the week without a gain.

In the black market, the domestic currency weakened against the Dollar yesterday by N5 to close at N1,370/$1 compared with Thursday’s closing price of N1,365/$1, and at the GT Bank forex desk, it lost N2 to sell N1,369/$1 versus the N1,367/$1 it was sold a day earlier.

Yesterday, the Nigerian Naira lost N3.75 or 0.26 per cent against the greenback at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to trade at N1,363.39/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,359.82/$1.

Also, the Naira depreciated against the Euro at the official market during the session by N2.33 to quote at N1,609.22/€1 versus N1,606.89/€1, and appreciated against the Pound Sterling by N6.74 to settle at N1,836.49/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N1,843.23/£1.

The Naira’s latest depreciation occurred as FX demand continued to outpace available supply, intensifying pressure in the market.

In response to the negative momentum, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) intervened by selling Dollars to banks and other authorised dealers in an effort to stabilise the local currency. The move came barely a week after the apex bank had purchased about $190 million from the foreign exchange market to temper the Naira’s rally.

Specifically, the CBN injected $200 million into the official market between Tuesday and Wednesday through an intervention call. However, the liquidity support proved insufficient to reverse the currency’s downward trend.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market declined on Friday, with Solana (SOL) down by 10.4 per cent to $78.60, as Dogecoin (DOGE) decreased by 9.5 per cent to $0.0982.

Further, Cardano (ADA) slumped 8.9 per cent to $0.2647, Ethereum (ETH) slipped by 8.6 per cent to $1,859.10, Ripple (XRP) shrank by 8.2 per cent to $1.30, Litecoin (LTC) lost 1.4 per cent to close at $52.39, Bitcoin (BTC) slid 5.9 per cent to $63,686.39, and Binance Coin (BNB) went down by 4.9 per cent to $596.64, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 apiece.

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Economy

Oil Prices Climb on Geopolitical Anxiety

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oil prices cancel iran deal

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices rose about 2 per cent on Friday, with traders bracing for supply disruptions as nuclear talks between the United States and Iran were without an agreement.

Brent crude futures settled at $72.48 a barrel after chalking up $1.73 or 2.45 per cent, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures finished at $67.02 a barrel, up $1.81 or 2.78 per cent.

The two sides agreed to extend indirect negotiations into next week, but traders grew sceptical that an agreement between US President Donald Trump’s administration and Iran was possible.

The US and Iran held indirect talks in Geneva on Thursday after Mr Trump ordered a military buildup in the region.

Oil prices gained during the talks, on media reports indicating that discussions had stalled over U.S. insistence on zero enrichment of uranium by Iran. However, prices eased after the mediator from Oman said the two sides had made progress.

They plan to resume negotiations with technical-level discussions scheduled next week in Vienna, Omani Foreign Minister Sayyid Badr Albusaidi said on X.

Market analysts noted that geopolitical risk premiums of $8 to $10 a barrel have been built into oil prices on fears that a conflict will disrupt Middle East supply through the Strait of Hormuz, where about 20 per cent of global oil supply passes.

To cushion the impact from a possible strike, one of the world’s largest oil producers, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), is set to export more of its flagship Murban crude in April, while Saudi Arabia said it would also increase oil production.

Additionally, Saudi Arabia may raise its April crude price to Asia for the first time in five months due to higher demand from India to replace Russian supplies, potentially raising it by about $1 a barrel.

Meanwhile, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) is likely to consider raising oil output by 137,000 barrels per day for April at its March 1 meeting, after suspending production increases in the first quarter.

The resumption of output increases after a three-month pause would allow Saudi Arabia and the UAE to regain market share at a time when other OPEC+ members, such as Russia and Iran, contend with Western sanctions while Kazakhstan recovers from a series of oil production setbacks.

Eight OPEC+ producers – Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United Arab Emirates, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria and Oman will meet at the meeting on Sunday.

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