Economy
Understanding Technical Indicators: Tools for Analyzing Market Trends
Technical indicators are very effective instruments for analyzing market movements and making profitable trades. Potential entry and exit points in the market may be determined using these indicators based on past data like price, volume and open interest. Some of the most often used indicators include moving averages, Bollinger Bands, the Relative Strength Index, the Stochastic Oscillator, Fibonacci Retracements and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence.
Moving averages help investors determine the underlying trend in a security’s price by removing the impact of temporary price changes. Bollinger Bands provide a measure of volatility by showing two standard deviations above and below a simple moving average. The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicator tracks the space between two exponential moving averages to gauge momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is an oscillator used to analyze price fluctuations. Stochastics evaluates where closing prices fall in relation to their historical volatility.
Last but not least, Fibonacci Retracements draw horizontal lines at significant Fibonacci levels to show where support and resistance might be found. Insight into market movements and confidence in trading choices while you trade online in Nigeria may be gained by integrating these technical indicators with a fundamental study.
Chart patterns and price action: Unlocking signals for trading decisions
Traders rely heavily on chart patterns and price movement when making profitable trades. Trading opportunities may be seen on a chart pattern’s visual depiction of the market. The analysis of price activity may be used to predict how prices will change in the future.
Traders may improve their market knowledge and trading judgments using chart patterns and price movement. For instance, if a trader sees a chart pattern emerging on a stock or currency pair, they may use price action analysis to predict whether the stock’s or currency’s price will rise or fall due to the pattern. Traders using technical indicators and fundamental analysis will have an advantage over their peers who employ either method alone.
Backtesting and risk management: Enhancing trading strategies with technical analysis
Any trading strategy worth its salt will include backtesting and risk management. Trading strategies may be backtested by testing them against actual historical data. Risk management is all about managing the dangers inherent in financial transactions. Traders may improve their tactics and raise their odds of success by integrating backtesting and risk management. The purpose of backtesting is to simulate the past performance of a trading strategy under varying market circumstances. Traders may then address the areas of their tactics that may be vulnerable. They may see how their strategies would have responded to various market events, such as news publications or economic data changes.
Risk management reduces exposure to potential losses in financial transactions. Stop-loss orders, specified profit thresholds and portfolio diversification are all examples of risk management strategies. Risk management is a tool that may help traders maximize profits while minimizing losses. Traders may develop trading methods that are more resilient under a variety of market scenarios by combining backtesting with risk management. Risk management aids traders in limiting their exposure to losses, while backtesting reveals how a strategy might have fared in the past. These two methods, when combined, may help traders refine their approaches and boost their market success.
Economy
Illicit Flows Cost Africa $88bn Yearly—Edun
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, has raised concern over Africa’s mounting revenue losses, warning that the continent forfeits an estimated $88 billion annually to illicit financial flows (IFFs), a development he described as a critical threat to sustainable growth.
Speaking at the 5th Session of the Sub-Committee on Tax and Illicit Financial Flows of the African Union on Tuesday in Abuja, Mr Edun said the persistent outflows continue to deprive African countries of vital resources required for infrastructure, healthcare, and overall economic development.
The high-level meeting, held at Transcorp Hilton Abuja, brought together policymakers, tax administrators, and development partners to examine strategies for strengthening fiscal systems amid evolving global economic uncertainties.
Mr Edun stressed the need for African countries to reduce reliance on external financing sources such as debt, aid, and foreign investment, noting that these options are becoming increasingly unpredictable. He maintained that domestic resource mobilisation must serve as the foundation for long-term economic sustainability.
“Our ambition is to finance up to 90 per cent of Africa’s development needs from domestic resources,” he said, referencing the continent’s Agenda 2063 development framework.
He identified structural challenges, including tax evasion, weak institutional capacity, and limited economic diversification, as key impediments, while emphasising that curbing illicit financial flows remains central to unlocking Africa’s fiscal potential.
Highlighting ongoing reforms under President Bola Tinubu, Mr Edun noted that measures such as tax system reforms, fuel subsidy removal, and exchange rate unification are beginning to improve revenue performance and boost investor confidence.
He added that initiatives like the National Single Window are helping to reduce trade-related leakages, while enhanced international tax cooperation is supporting efforts to recover lost revenues. He also cited Executive Order 9 as a key policy aimed at strengthening transparency in the oil and gas sector.
Calling for broader continental action, Mr Edun urged African nations to expand their tax base, strengthen public financial management systems, and deepen financial inclusion. He listed institutional strengthening, digital infrastructure investment, and cross-border collaboration as critical reform priorities.
“The question is no longer whether we must reform, but how urgently and how boldly we act,” he said, warning that failure to act could leave African economies exposed to external shocks.
On his part, the Executive Chairman of the Nigeria Revenue Service, Mr Zacch Adedeji, called for urgent steps to safeguard domestic resources and address widening financing gaps across the continent.
Mr Adedeji noted that illicit financial flows ranging from tax evasion and trade mispricing to aggressive tax avoidance continue to weaken Africa’s capacity to fund critical sectors such as infrastructure, healthcare, and education.
“Every year, billions meant for development are lost through illegal financial transfers. These are lost hospitals, lost schools, and lost opportunities,” he said.
He stressed that the cross-border nature of illicit flows requires coordinated responses at both national and continental levels, adding that Nigeria is pursuing reforms to modernise revenue administration through expanded tax coverage, improved compliance, and digital innovation.
According to him, efficient and transparent tax systems are essential not only for revenue generation but also for strengthening public trust in government institutions.
Economy
NMDPRA Increases Gas Prices for GenCos to $2.18/MMBTU
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has raised the natural gas price for power generation companies (GenCos) to $2.18 per million metric British thermal units (MMBTU).
This marks a $0.05/MMBTU hike from the earlier rate of $2.13 per MMBTU.
In a circular released on Tuesday, the regulator outlined the updated domestic base price (DBP) and wholesale natural gas prices for 2025.
The DBP represents the lowest price at which natural gas can be offered in the domestic market.
The document states that the adjustment will begin today (April 1, 2026).
“Taking into account the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) provisions, current market conditions, and the official Gas Pricing and Domestic Demand Regulations, the NMDPRA sets the new Domestic Base Price at USD 2.18/MMBtu, along with wholesale prices for the strategic sector, starting April 1, 2026,” the circular stated.
In the directive signed by NMDPRA CEO, Mr Saidu Mohammed, the regulator also indicates that commercial buyers will now pay $2.68 per MMBTU, up from $2.63 per MMBTU previously.
Additionally, the authority fixed prices for gas-based industries (such as ammonia, urea, methanol, and low-sulphur diesel) at a floor of $0.90 per MMBTU and a ceiling of $2.18 per MMBTU.
NMDPRA explained that the domestic base price at the marketable gas delivery point—per section 167(1) of the PIA—follows regulations based on key principles:
“a) A rate sufficient to encourage upstream producers to voluntarily supply enough gas to the domestic market.
“b) No higher than the average natural gas prices in major emerging producer nations.
“c) Based on the lowest supply costs under a three-tier framework.
“d) Aligned with market rates and international benchmarks.”
This change could affect the country’s power sector, already strained by massive debt and a lack of gas supply.
Last month, the Association of Power Generation Companies (APGC), an umbrella body for power generation companies, warned that gas suppliers might halt deliveries to thermal plants due to debt of around N6.5 trillion.
The federal government disclosed plans in December to raise N1.23 trillion by the first quarter (Q1) of 2026 to settle verified arrears owed to generation companies and gas suppliers. On January 27, the government said it had successfully issued a N501 billion inaugural bond under the presidential power sector debt reduction programme (PPSDRP).
However, the APGC has said that this is inadequate, comparing the debt to “garri soaked in water.”
Economy
NASD Unlisted Securities Index Falls 0.23% to 4,100.11 Points
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further declined by 0.23 per cent, with the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) down by 9.63 points on Tuesday, March 31, to 4,100.11 points from 4,109.74 points.
In the same vein, the market capitalisation went down by N5.76 billion to finish at N2.453 trillion from the N2.458 trillion it closed a day earlier.
The mood of the market was flat yesterday as there were three price losers and three price gainers, led by Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc, which gained N1.51 to sell at N78.68 per unit compared with the previous day’s N77.17 per unit. UBN Property Plc appreciated by 15 Kobo to N2.20 per share from N2.05 per share, and Geo-Fluids Plc improved by 3 Kobo to N3.25 per unit from N3.22 per unit.
On the flip side, 11 Plc lost N31.05 to close at N285.00 per share versus Monday’s closing price of N316.50 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc dropped 95 Kobo to trade at N98.05 per unit versus N99.00 per unit, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc went down by 2 Kobo to 52 Kobo per share from 57 Kobo per share.
During the trading day, the volume of securities jumped by 137.9 per cent to 50.8 million units from 21.3 million units, the number of deals rose 28.9 per cent to 49 deals from the preceding session’s 38 deals, while the value of securities went down by 65.2 per cent to N226.9 million from N651.1 million.
CSCS Plc remained the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 56.8 million units worth N3.8 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 27.5 million units valued at N1.8 billion, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units traded for N1.2 billion.
Resourcery Plc was the most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million, followed by Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 183.0 million units exchanged for N673.8 million.
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