Connect with us

Economy

Inflation to Marginally Drop to 15.91% in October—FSDH

Published

on

inflation-nigeria

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Data released last month by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed that inflation in the month of September 2017 declined to 15.98 percent from 16.01 percent in August, though food prices still remained high.

For the month of October 2017, which is due for release by the NBS later this month, precisely on Saturday, November 18, 2017, analysts at FSDH are predicting a marginal fall in the rate.

According to its Inflation Watch report released on Thursday, FSDH Research says it expects the inflation rate (year-on-year) to drop to 15.91 percent in October 2017 from 15.98 percent reported in the month of September 2017.

It explained that the expected marginal decline in the inflation rate is premised on slower increase in the food and non-food divisions, compared with the previous month.

FSDH Research said the monthly Food Price Index (FPI) released on Thursday by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) showed that the Index averaged 176.4 points, 1.26 percent lower than the revised value for September 2017, but 2.45 percent higher than the October 2016 figure.

According to the FAO, all categories of commodities used in the calculation of the Index dropped in value with the exception of cereal.

The FAO Dairy Index fell by 4.19 percent from September 2017 as the prices of butter, skim milk powder (SMP) and whole milk powder (WMP) eased in October.

The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index was down by 1.06 percent. This was as a result of abundant inventory levels of soy and palm oil in Malaysia, Southeast Asia and the United States of America coupled with a favourable outlook for global supply in 2017/18.

The FAO Meat Price Index was down by 0.9 percent as prices of ovine and pig meat declined due to reduced import demand. The FAO Sugar Price Index was down by 0.67% in October 2017 on the heels of reports on improved supply conditions in 2017/2018 in the main sugar producing region of Brazil.

Also, a weaker Brazilian Real and the slowdown in demand from China weighed down on the value of the Index.

On the flip side, the FAO Cereal Price Index was up by 0.65 percent in October 2017 as a result of the increase in the prices of rice and maize. Increased competition amongst exporters and sufficient supplies weighed on the prices of wheat.

FSDH said its analysis indicates that the value of the Naira depreciated at the inter-bank market, while it appreciated at the parallel market. The Naira lost by 0.02% at the inter-bank market to close at $/N305.80 while it gained 0.83 percent at the parallel market to close at $/N362.50 at the end of October.

The Naira appreciation in the parallel market and the drop in the prices of food at the international market led to a drop in the prices of some consumer goods in Nigeria.

The prices of most of the food items we monitored in October 2017 moderated downwards, while a few items recorded price appreciation. The movement in the prices of food items during the month resulted in 0.85 percent increase in our Food and Non-Alcoholic Index to 256 points.

“Our Food and Non-Alcoholic Index increased by 20.24 percent from 212.90 points in October 2016. We also noticed increase in the prices of Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels divisions between September 2017 and October 2017.

“Our model indicates that the general price movement in the consumer goods and services in October 2017 increased the Composite Consumer Price Index (CCPI) to 243.04 points, representing a month-on-month increase of 0.77 percent.

“We estimate that the increase in the CCPI in October 2017 would produce an inflation rate of 15.91 percent marginally lower than the 15.98 percent recorded in September 2017, the firm said.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Economy

NGX Index Down 0.15% as eTranzact Ends as Worst-Performing Stock

Published

on

eTranzact

By Dipo Olowookere

The first trading day of the new week at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited ended on a negative note on Monday with a 0.15 per cent loss.

This was influenced by a decline in the appetite for Nigerian stocks by investors, as market participants chose to trade cautiously.

The profit-taking put most of the sectors under pressure, with the insurance index crumbling by 1.70 per cent at the close of transactions.

Further, the consumer goods space declined by 0.38 per cent, the banking counter shrank by 0.20 per cent, and the energy industry depreciated by 0.19 per cent, while the industrial goods and commodity sectors closed flat.

Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) gave up 155.96 points to settle at 105,799.17 points compared with last Friday’s 105,955.13 points, and the market capitalisation tumbled by N8 billion to close at N66.344 trillion versus N66.352 trillion.

The worst-performing stock yesterday was eTranzact after it lost 10.00 per cent to trade at N5.85, Sunu Assurances depleted by 9.92 per cent to N4.63, Prestige Assurance fell by 8.26 per cent to N1.00, Sovereign Trust Insurance crashed by 7.77 per cent to 95 Kobo, and Red Star Express stumbled by 7.76 per cent to N5.35.

The best-performing stock for the session was Academy Press as it chalked up 9.92 per cent to sell for N2.88, Neimeth appreciated by 8.43 per cent to N2.70, Tantalizers rose by 6.83 per cent to N3.13, Dangote Sugar jumped by 4.71 per cent to N36.70, and Stanbic IBTC grew by 4.24 per cent to N61.50.

Business Post reports that there were 18 price gainers and 35 price losers on Monday, representing a negative market breadth index and weak investor sentiment.

During the trading day, investors traded 477.5 million shares valued at N7.1 billion in 13,520 deals compared with the 750.6 million shares worth N11.1 billion transacted in 10,584 deals in the preceding session, indicating a growth in the number of deals by 27.74 per cent, and a slump in the trading volume and value by 36.38 per cent and 36.04 per cent, respectively.

Jaiz Bank topped the activity chart after selling 197.4 million stocks for N606.2 million, Zenith Bank transacted 26.0 million shares for N1.2 billion, Sovereign Trust Insurance traded 19.3 million equities worth N18.5 million, Prestige Assurance exchanged 18.5 million shares valued at N19.0 million, and Fidelity Bank sold 15.9 million equities worth N270.5 million.

Continue Reading

Economy

Inflation in Nigeria Cools to 23.18% in February 2025

Published

on

nigerian inflation

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

In February 2025, inflation in Nigeria moderated to 23.18 per cent from the 24.48 per cent recorded in January 2025, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday revealed.

The agency disclosed in the report yesterday that on a year-on-year basis, the average prices of goods and services eased by 8.52 per cent from the 31.70 per cent achieved in February 2024.

In the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the NBS said last month, the headline inflation slowed due to decline in the average prices of food items like yam tuber, potatoes, soya beans, flour of maize/cornmeal, cassava, bambara beans (dried), etc compared with the prices in the first month of this year.

It stated that housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels accounted for 1.95 per cent of inflationary concerns, which education services contributed 1.44 per  cent, with health accounting for 1.40 per cent.

It added that clothing and footwear accounted for 1.17 per cent, information and communication contributed 0.76 per cent, and personal care, social protection, miscellaneous goods and services accounted for 0.76 per cent.

Further, furnishing, household equipment, and routine household maintenance contributed 0.69 per cent; insurance and financial services accounted for 0.11 per cent; and alcoholic beverages, tobacco, recreation, sport, and culture, sport, and culture contributed 0.07 per cent.

Also, food and non-alcoholic beverages accounted for 9.28 per cent, restaurants and accommodation services contributed 2.99 per cent; and transport accounted for 2.47 per cent.

The agency also revealed that last month, food inflation went down on a year-on-year basis by 14.41 per cent to 23.51 per cent from 37.92 per cent in the same period of last year.

On a month-on-month basis, food inflation was 1.67 per cent, with the average annual rate for the 12 months ending February 2025 over the previous 12-month average at 34.74 per cent, in contrast to 30.07 per cent in February 2024.

It stated that core inflation, which excludes the prices of volatile agricultural produces and energy, also declined by 2.12 per cent to 23.01 per cent, year-on-year in February 2025, compared to the 25.13 per cent in February 2024.

On a month-on-month basis, the core index stood at 2.52 per cent in February while the average 12-month annual inflation rate was 25.33 per cent for the 12 months ending February 2025, higher than 21.72 per cent in February 2024.

Continue Reading

Economy

SEC Suspends Centurion Registrars for Capital Market Infractions

Published

on

Centurion Registrars Limited

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has announced the suspension of Centurion Registrars Limited, including its directors and sponsored individuals from the capital market.

The suspension was announced by the commission in a statement titled Additional Enforcement Measures on Erring Capital Market Operators.

The SEC stated, “All clients of Centurion Registrars are advised to contact Africa Prudential Plc for guidance.”

This is not the first time Centurion Registrars has had issues with the Nigerian government as it was convicted in 2022 by a Special Offences Court in Lagos over fraud involving N206.5 million stocks after it was arraigned by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).

The latest action of the SEC on the company is part of the agency’s broader efforts in 2025 to crack down on capital market operators it deems illegal to sanitise the investment environment in Nigeria.

Recall that the regulator revoked the registration of Mainland Trust Limited as a capital market operator, citing regulatory non-compliance and outstanding complaints against the company.

In a related development, the commission also said it would publish the names of Capital Market Operators who violate market regulations in its Name and Shame journal.

The SEC said the decision reflects a zero-tolerance policy for infractions in the capital market and aligns with newly revised enforcement strategies.

According to the notice, “The publication will be in addition to the sanctions and penalties for the respective infractions prescribed in the ISA 2007 and the SEC rules and regulations.”

Business Post had reported that the SEC listed mainstreaming the Nigerian capital market into the economy as its top priority in 2025.

Mr Emomotimi Agama, the Director General of SEC, said this in his New Year 2025 message to the capital market community on Monday.

He also said the commission would intensify efforts to eliminate Ponzi and pyramid schemes, thereby fostering an environment for genuine investment opportunities to thrive in 2025.

He said that protecting investors remained a cornerstone of the commission’s mission.

Mr Agama also said that the commission would prioritise key initiatives aimed at deepening market integrity, enhancing investor confidence and driving economic growth.

Continue Reading

Trending